Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications, 1990 - 2001

نویسندگان

  • Donald L. Keefer
  • Craig W. Kirkwood
  • James L. Corner
چکیده

This article identifies, and provides perspective on, trends and developments in decision analysis applications, based primarily on an exhaustive survey of decision analysis applications published from 1990 through 2001 in major English language operations research and closely related journals. It serves as a guide to those interested in recent applications in specific areas or in applications that illustrate the use of particular methods. We compare the characteristics of the applications articles surveyed here with those of applications articles appearing in a similar set of journals from 1970-1989 and conclude that the overall rate of publication of decision analysis applications has increased. In addition, we find that both the mix of application areas and the specific aspects of decision analysis that are emphasized in applications publications have shifted somewhat. We also identify and discuss noteworthy trends in, and developments affecting, published applications, including those in computer software and softwarerelated tools, decision conferencing, stochastic trees, value-focused thinking, normative systems, organizational processes, and real options. We highlight several award-winning decision analysis applications and discuss formation of a new practitioner-oriented professional group. Finally, we present some concerns and thoughts on needs for the future to further advance decision analysis practice.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Decision Analysis

دوره 1  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004